Special Reports

The Great Convergence: Compute, Blockchain & Power. Toward a Fair and Orderly Compute Marketplace

BitOoda Special Report, 3/27/23

Sam Doctor
Key Takeaway #1

Compute will grow to become the largest commodity market.

Key Takeaway #2

In the future, data centers will become “compute refineries.”

Key Takeaway #3

Renewable power will play a critical part in a transition to the sustainable growth of compute.

Key Takeaway #4

Interruptible data centers will resemble virtual batteries that can handle variable compute load and help the grid with load balancing.

The global demand for compute power is growing at an exponential pace, driven by the demand for AI applications, machine learning, computational biology and other emerging technologies. ChatGPT has exposed the massive computational load of AI to the general public, but the underlying trend has been clear for a number of years.

At the same time, blockchain-related compute is seeing increasing complexity. The Proof of Work (PoW) paradigm in crypto needs large amounts of efficient compute, as the first to solve a puzzle earns the revenue. While Proof of Stake (PoS) products reduced the immediate compute need,  scaling and privacy applications such as Zero Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs) require large amounts of cutting edge computing power. This is an important distinction. GPU-based PoW could be solved with mid-range hardware deployments that could not meet the demanding requirements for AI algorithms. However, ZKPs are extremely resource-intensive, and require some of the same high-end hardware that advanced compute applications need.

This is driving a convergence of blockchain compute and general purpose compute with tremendous implications for the entire data center industry.

Today, most data center operators secure contracts with either large end users such as Pfizer or Ford or Citibank, or large cloud providers such as Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure or Amazon AWS. They accept a relatively low gross margin for the stable revenue, high-capacity utilization and the customer acquisition cost savings that come with selling to cloud providers, who in turn make significantly larger margins selling to end users.

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Interruptible Data Centers Increase Reserve Margin, Optimizing Power Assets

BitOoda is Leading The Way on the Financialization of Compute and Power Asset Portfolio Optimization

The global demand for compute power is growing at an exponential pace, driven by the demand for AI applications, machine learning, computational biology and other emerging technologies. ChatGPT has exposed the massive computational load of AI to the general public, but the underlying trend has been clear for a number of years.

At the same time, blockchain-related compute is seeing increasing complexity. The Proof of Work (PoW) paradigm in crypto needs large amounts of efficient compute, as the first to solve a puzzle earns the revenue. While Proof of Stake (PoS) products reduced the immediate compute need,  scaling and privacy applications such as Zero Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs) require large amounts of cutting edge computing power. This is an important distinction. GPU-based PoW could be solved with mid-range hardware deployments that could not meet the demanding requirements for AI algorithms. However, ZKPs are extremely resource-intensive, and require some of the same high-end hardware that advanced compute applications need.

This is driving a convergence of blockchain compute and general purpose compute with tremendous implications for the entire data center industry.

Today, most data center operators secure contracts with either large end users such as Pfizer or Ford or Citibank, or large cloud providers such as Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure or Amazon AWS. They accept a relatively low gross margin for the stable revenue, high-capacity utilization and the customer acquisition cost savings that come with selling to cloud providers, who in turn make significantly larger margins selling to end users.

The convergence of blockchain compute with advanced general purpose compute supports independent data center operators, because blockchain applications such as ZKPs can provide the data center with a baseline revenue and can drive capacity utilization that can fund the business as it seeks end customers. The data center now becomes a “compute refinery,” dynamically orienting itself to changing customer applications, producing the compute that provides the highest value to it, and switching to lower value base load for idle capacity. In this model, there is always some revenue.

There is another convergence happening simultaneously: data centers consume massive amounts of power – north of 50GW a year, and growing rapidly. A data center can switch off operations rapidly when the grid needs a flexible load and can be compensated well for this controllable load – provided the load is interruptible – without consequences that a mission critical application cannot tolerate.

As the US and the world moves to more renewable energy, the old paradigm of supply needing to respond to a variable load is shifting toward a paradigm of the load needing to respond to a variable supply. This encompasses seasonal, hourly and unpredictable or short lead-time variances.

This is a key challenge for our grid infrastructure, particularly over the next decade or so while battery deployments remain modest. In the future, when utility and grid scale battery backup becomes ubiquitous, along with upgrades to long distance transmission line capacity, the electric infrastructure system will once more be able to modulate supply to meet variable demand, but demand response will likely remain a long term part of the solution.

Unlike most heavy manufacturing or process  industries that cannot modulate demand, an interruptible data center can. This can increase the theoretical reserve margin, since at peak load there will be load shedding from datacenters, giving a buffer to the system. Such an insurgent data center could compete with incumbent data centers on price, while delivering true green credentials through helping stabilize the grid and optimize the power asset portfolio.

This will form the basis of the great convergence of Compute, Blockchain and Power to offer true fungible compute for the first time. The parameters of such compute capacity would be standardized in terms of compute amount (say, petaflop hours or PFHr) and the interruptibility vs mission criticality. Other parameters such as the hardware configuration would also see standardization, because if the buyer is paying $x per PFHr and can receive the verifiable result by their deadline, they are indifferent to whether the service provider utilizes one or another specialized configuration.

The key missing piece remains a marketplace for fungible compute where sellers can offer their capacity and buyers can bid on it. This marketplace will eventually correlate with power and even carbon markets, as compute producers and consumers seek to hedge against the biggest operating expense for a data center –  power – and power providers optimize the delivery of compute across a data center portfolio that allows them to shift demand across both time and space, optimizing their power generation assets and delivering grid-scale stability and efficiency benefits. Eventually, we see the incumbent cloud providers joining the insurgent data centers in this endeavor – primarily owing to end-customer demand pull.

We at BitOoda are partnering with a variety of constituents to pioneer a suite of products and services to develop the compute marketplace – including transparent pricing, a matching engine between buyer and seller, and smart routing of data across sites while maintaining a robust chain of custody for data integrity and privacy, and the underlying set of hedging tools to manage risk while eliminating opaque middlemen. This critical emerging market demands a structured, transparent infrastructure based on traditional capital markets principles.

Disclosures

Purpose

This research is only for the clients of BitOoda. This research is not intended to constitute an offer, solicitation, or invitation for any securities and may not be distributed into jurisdictions where it is unlawful to do so. For additional disclosures and information, please contact a BitOoda representative at info@bitooda.io.

Analyst Certification

Sam Doctor, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report, hereby certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his personal views, which have not been influenced by considerations of the firm’s business or client relationships.

Conflicts of Interest

This research contains the views, opinions, and recommendations of BitOoda. This report is intended for research and educational purposes only. We are not compensated in any way based upon any specific view or recommendation.

General Disclosures

Any information (“Information”) provided by BitOoda Holdings, Inc., BitOoda Digital, LLC, BitOoda Technologies, LLC or Ooda Commodities, LLC and its affiliated or related companies (collectively, “BitOoda”), either in this publication or document, in any other communication, or on or through http://www.bitooda.io/, including any information regarding proposed transactions or trading strategies, is for informational purposes only and is provided without charge.  BitOoda is not and does not act as a fiduciary or adviser, or in any similar capacity, in providing the Information, and the Information may not be relied upon as investment, financial, legal, tax, regulatory, or any other type of advice. The Information is being distributed as part of BitOoda’s sales and marketing efforts as an introducing broker and is incidental to its business as such. BitOoda seeks to earn execution fees when its clients execute transactions using its brokerage services.  BitOoda makes no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding, nor shall it have any responsibility or liability for the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness or completeness of, the Information, and no representation is made or is to be implied that the Information will remain unchanged. BitOoda undertakes no duty to amend, correct, update, or otherwise supplement the Information.

The Information has not been prepared or tailored to address, and may not be suitable or appropriate for the particular financial needs, circumstances or requirements of any person, and it should not be the basis for making any investment or transaction decision.  The Information is not a recommendation to engage in any transaction.  The digital asset industry is subject to a range of inherent risks, including but not limited to: price volatility, limited liquidity, limited and incomplete information regarding certain instruments, products, or digital assets, and a still emerging and evolving regulatory environment.  The past performance of any instruments, products or digital assets addressed in the Information is not a guide to future performance, nor is it a reliable indicator of future results or performance. 

Ooda Commodities, LLC is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets.

BitOoda Technologies, LLC is a member of FINRA.

“BitOoda”, “BitOoda Difficulty”, “BitOoda Hash”, “BitOoda Compute”, and the BitOoda logo are trademarks of BitOoda Holdings, Inc.

Copyright 2023 BitOoda Holdings, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this material may be reprinted, redistributed, or sold without prior written consent of BitOoda.

Interruptible Data Centers Increase Reserve Margin, Optimizing Power Assets

BitOoda is Leading The Way on the Financialization of Compute and Power Asset Portfolio Optimization

The global demand for compute power is growing at an exponential pace, driven by the demand for AI applications, machine learning, computational biology and other emerging technologies. ChatGPT has exposed the massive computational load of AI to the general public, but the underlying trend has been clear for a number of years.

At the same time, blockchain-related compute is seeing increasing complexity. The Proof of Work (PoW) paradigm in crypto needs large amounts of efficient compute, as the first to solve a puzzle earns the revenue. While Proof of Stake (PoS) products reduced the immediate compute need,  scaling and privacy applications such as Zero Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs) require large amounts of cutting edge computing power. This is an important distinction. GPU-based PoW could be solved with mid-range hardware deployments that could not meet the demanding requirements for AI algorithms. However, ZKPs are extremely resource-intensive, and require some of the same high-end hardware that advanced compute applications need.

This is driving a convergence of blockchain compute and general purpose compute with tremendous implications for the entire data center industry.

Today, most data center operators secure contracts with either large end users such as Pfizer or Ford or Citibank, or large cloud providers such as Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure or Amazon AWS. They accept a relatively low gross margin for the stable revenue, high-capacity utilization and the customer acquisition cost savings that come with selling to cloud providers, who in turn make significantly larger margins selling to end users.

The convergence of blockchain compute with advanced general purpose compute supports independent data center operators, because blockchain applications such as ZKPs can provide the data center with a baseline revenue and can drive capacity utilization that can fund the business as it seeks end customers. The data center now becomes a “compute refinery,” dynamically orienting itself to changing customer applications, producing the compute that provides the highest value to it, and switching to lower value base load for idle capacity. In this model, there is always some revenue.

There is another convergence happening simultaneously: data centers consume massive amounts of power – north of 50GW a year, and growing rapidly. A data center can switch off operations rapidly when the grid needs a flexible load and can be compensated well for this controllable load – provided the load is interruptible – without consequences that a mission critical application cannot tolerate.

As the US and the world moves to more renewable energy, the old paradigm of supply needing to respond to a variable load is shifting toward a paradigm of the load needing to respond to a variable supply. This encompasses seasonal, hourly and unpredictable or short lead-time variances.

This is a key challenge for our grid infrastructure, particularly over the next decade or so while battery deployments remain modest. In the future, when utility and grid scale battery backup becomes ubiquitous, along with upgrades to long distance transmission line capacity, the electric infrastructure system will once more be able to modulate supply to meet variable demand, but demand response will likely remain a long term part of the solution.

Unlike most heavy manufacturing or process  industries that cannot modulate demand, an interruptible data center can. This can increase the theoretical reserve margin, since at peak load there will be load shedding from datacenters, giving a buffer to the system. Such an insurgent data center could compete with incumbent data centers on price, while delivering true green credentials through helping stabilize the grid and optimize the power asset portfolio.

This will form the basis of the great convergence of Compute, Blockchain and Power to offer true fungible compute for the first time. The parameters of such compute capacity would be standardized in terms of compute amount (say, petaflop hours or PFHr) and the interruptibility vs mission criticality. Other parameters such as the hardware configuration would also see standardization, because if the buyer is paying $x per PFHr and can receive the verifiable result by their deadline, they are indifferent to whether the service provider utilizes one or another specialized configuration.

The key missing piece remains a marketplace for fungible compute where sellers can offer their capacity and buyers can bid on it. This marketplace will eventually correlate with power and even carbon markets, as compute producers and consumers seek to hedge against the biggest operating expense for a data center –  power – and power providers optimize the delivery of compute across a data center portfolio that allows them to shift demand across both time and space, optimizing their power generation assets and delivering grid-scale stability and efficiency benefits. Eventually, we see the incumbent cloud providers joining the insurgent data centers in this endeavor – primarily owing to end-customer demand pull.

We at BitOoda are partnering with a variety of constituents to pioneer a suite of products and services to develop the compute marketplace – including transparent pricing, a matching engine between buyer and seller, and smart routing of data across sites while maintaining a robust chain of custody for data integrity and privacy, and the underlying set of hedging tools to manage risk while eliminating opaque middlemen. This critical emerging market demands a structured, transparent infrastructure based on traditional capital markets principles.

Disclosures

Purpose

This research is only for the clients of BitOoda. This research is not intended to constitute an offer, solicitation, or invitation for any securities and may not be distributed into jurisdictions where it is unlawful to do so. For additional disclosures and information, please contact a BitOoda representative at info@bitooda.io.

Analyst Certification

Sam Doctor, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report, hereby certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his personal views, which have not been influenced by considerations of the firm’s business or client relationships.

Conflicts of Interest

This research contains the views, opinions, and recommendations of BitOoda. This report is intended for research and educational purposes only. We are not compensated in any way based upon any specific view or recommendation.

General Disclosures

Any information (“Information”) provided by BitOoda Holdings, Inc., BitOoda Digital, LLC, BitOoda Technologies, LLC or Ooda Commodities, LLC and its affiliated or related companies (collectively, “BitOoda”), either in this publication or document, in any other communication, or on or through http://www.bitooda.io/, including any information regarding proposed transactions or trading strategies, is for informational purposes only and is provided without charge.  BitOoda is not and does not act as a fiduciary or adviser, or in any similar capacity, in providing the Information, and the Information may not be relied upon as investment, financial, legal, tax, regulatory, or any other type of advice. The Information is being distributed as part of BitOoda’s sales and marketing efforts as an introducing broker and is incidental to its business as such. BitOoda seeks to earn execution fees when its clients execute transactions using its brokerage services.  BitOoda makes no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding, nor shall it have any responsibility or liability for the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness or completeness of, the Information, and no representation is made or is to be implied that the Information will remain unchanged. BitOoda undertakes no duty to amend, correct, update, or otherwise supplement the Information.

The Information has not been prepared or tailored to address, and may not be suitable or appropriate for the particular financial needs, circumstances or requirements of any person, and it should not be the basis for making any investment or transaction decision.  The Information is not a recommendation to engage in any transaction.  The digital asset industry is subject to a range of inherent risks, including but not limited to: price volatility, limited liquidity, limited and incomplete information regarding certain instruments, products, or digital assets, and a still emerging and evolving regulatory environment.  The past performance of any instruments, products or digital assets addressed in the Information is not a guide to future performance, nor is it a reliable indicator of future results or performance. 

Ooda Commodities, LLC is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets.

BitOoda Technologies, LLC is a member of FINRA.

“BitOoda”, “BitOoda Difficulty”, “BitOoda Hash”, “BitOoda Compute”, and the BitOoda logo are trademarks of BitOoda Holdings, Inc.

Copyright 2023 BitOoda Holdings, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this material may be reprinted, redistributed, or sold without prior written consent of BitOoda.

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